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Baker, Alister
- PublicationEvaluating the Potential Returns to Investment in RD&E in the Southern Australian Grains Industry
Over recent decades, the Australian grains industry has faced various challenges arising from changing climate, increases in extreme weather events and declining public research, development and extension (RD&E). At the same time, there has been growing competition in Australia's main grain export markets. To increase the annual rate of productivity growth and maintain international competitiveness, more and better-aimed investments in agricultural RD&E are required. Equilibrium Displacement Models (EDMs) provide a framework for assessing the potential economic returns to investments in agricultural RD&E and the distribution of these returns along the industry supply chain.
In this paper, an EDM for the southern Australian grains industry, encompassing South Australia, Victoria and Tasmania, is developed as a companion to the previously developed EDM of the WA grains industry. Using the EDM, three hypothetical RD&E investment scenarios are examined: a reduction in the cost of farm production variable inputs resulting from new farm technologies or improvements in cropping processes and practices; a cost reduction in stockfeed manufacturing resulting from new technologies and improved industrial techniques; and an increase in the willingness of overseas consumers to pay for wheat due to quality improvements or promotion. The results show that, directing RD&E towards a market segment of the supply chain with high gross revenue generates greater returns to the industry as a whole. As such, RD&E investment aimed at either farm production or bulk wheat export-segments of the supply chain which account for substantial gross value at farm gate and port-can yield high returns. Additionally, producers gain a greater share of benefits when productivity-enhancing research is directed towards on-farm rather than off-farm processes. Furthermore, producers can accrue large shares of the total benefits arising from research that enhances the quality of bulk grain exports because of the high price elasticity of demand for export grains.
- PublicationChain failure and chain goods: re-thinking value chain upgrading in developing countries(Food Dynamics, 2016-02)
; ; ; ;Malcolm, Bill; - PublicationThe value of product quality information: a comparison across multiple stages of Australian red meat supply chains(Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society (AARES), 2019)
; ; ; ; - PublicationThe Value of Information and Information Sharing in the Australian Beef and Sheep Meat Supply Chains(University of New England, 2020-04-02)
; ; ; ; This thesis provides empirical evidence on the benefits and value of sharing information about product quality vertically between upstream supply chain actors in the Australian beef and sheep meat industry. The central research objective is illustrated by five separate but interrelated papers: three aimed at revealing the linkages between information quality, information quantity, and firm performance" and two aimed at estimating the value placed on information about product quality by two actors in the red meat supply chain at two levels of information quality and quantity" and at identifying the determinants of producers' willingness to provide and willingness to pay for information about product quality in these supply chains.
A rigorous literature review is presented on the impacts of information quality and quantity on firm and supply chain performance, and past empirical work is further synthesised in a metaanalysis. From this work, a conceptual framework for provision and utilisation of meat quality information in the supply chain is developed and tested using Australian survey data contributed by stud breeders and livestock producers. Analysis of the survey data employs several techniques including structural equation modelling, binomial logit regression, and descriptive and summary statistics.
Each of papers in this thesis use a subset of data extracted from two surveys of Australian sheep and cattle breeders and commercial producers, with a total of 139 respondents. These two surveys were conducted on-line, from November 2017 to October 2018.
The samples drawn from these two surveys reflect the characteristics of Australian farmers as a whole, in terms of farmers' age and gender proportion. Although the limited sample size restricts the extent to which more sophisticated techniques can be used to examine the current issues in these industries, the data is presented as sufficient to address research problems and to test the conceptual framework at an initial stage.
Results generally validated the conceptual framework. They showed that the effects at firm and supply chain levels of information quantity and quantity, and the value placed on information, varied across information types in ways projected by the conceptual framework. They identified systematic differences between beef and sheep meat supply chains, and according to expectations of farmer and farm characteristics. Information quality influences firm performance more for some types of product information than for others, and is more influential overall than is information quantity. Results also reveal upstream producers' strong interest in improving the quality and quantity of this information. A comparison between two stages of the supply chain shows that stud breeders value this information more than do cattle producers. The identified asymmetric perception of value is considered as a potential cause of chain failure, constraining the maximization of supply chain surplus through use of information in management decisions, and in the longer term through reduced incentives to adopt information technology.
To the authors' knowledge, this is the first study to assign value to different types of product quality information at separate points in the beef and sheep meat supply chains. It is also the first to assess quantitatively the role played by information quality and quantity in generating value for this industry and the first to detect empirically potential causes of chain failure in a vertically co-ordinated industry. Our results offer guidance to industry and government on improving red meat supply chain performance. Recommendations are made for future research.
- PublicationUnlocking the monetary value: investigating the importance of quality information in Australian red meat chains(CSIRO Publishing, 2023-12-18)
; ; ; ; Context. This study assesses the monetary value of product quality information, specifically feedback from slaughter and production methods, within the Australian beef and sheep meat supply chains. Aims. The primary objective was to investigate the value assigned by supply chain actors to product quality information, measured as willingness to pay for receiving it or willingness to accept payment for providing it. The study also aimed to explore how the value of thisinformation varies based on information quality and quantity. Methods. A contingent valuation approach was employed, utilising survey data from 104 producers. Logit models were used to identify the factors influencing meat producers' willingness to accept payment and willingness to pay. Key results,. Over one-third of cattle and sheep producers expressed interest in receiving feedback from slaughter information and providing production methods information. Production methods information had the highest mean value at the premium information quality and quantity level, with values of AU$20.49/head in the beef industry and AU$10.13/head in the sheep industry. Conversely, feedback from slaughter information had the lowest mean value at the low information quality and quantity level, with values of AU$0.83/carcass in beef and AU$0.14/carcass in sheep. Farmers' experience and education level significantly influenced their willingness to accept payment and willingnessto pay for product quality information. Conclusions. A significant proportion of producers within the Australian beef and sheep meat supply chains express a desire to provide or pay for product quality information. The value assigned to this information demonstrates a positive relationship with higher information quality and quantity. However, variations in expressed value of different information types, and the influence of farmer and farm characteristics, suggest the presence of chain failures that disrupt information valuation. Implications. These findings have important implications for improving the performance of the red meat supply chains. Understanding the factors that influence the valuation of product quality information allows stakeholders to develop targeted strategies to enhance the efficiency and effectiveness of information exchange. This may involve addressing chain failures, and implementing measures to ensure consistent and accurate valuation of information. Ultimately, these improvements can contribute to enhanced decision making processes and overall supply chain performance in the Australian beef and sheep meat industry.
- PublicationPrimary Industry Chains and Networks: Analysis for Public and Private Interests(John Wiley & Sons Ltd, 2017)
; ;Dizyee, Kanar Hassan Hamza ;Parker, Warren ;Scrimgeour, FrankModern primary industry makes obsolete the conventional analysis of private and social performance. This is due to the dominance of chain failure as opposed to the more familiar market failure. This paper makes the case that value addition dominates aspirations for primary industries, and vertical coordination and shifts in commercial power balances feature in the sharing of bene fi ts within value chains. Moreover, complexity in chain relationships and some particular features of primary industry bring challenges to forward planning and concerted effort. Value addition in New Zealand's forestry and wood products' industry presents several such challenges, and these are examined with a qualitative system dynamics model. Potential policy responses that eliminate chain failure are discussed in association with the Australian beef industry research model. The paper advocates joint industry-university-government action in terms of research and skills development. - PublicationFood shoppers' share of wallet: A small city case in a changing competitive environment(Elsevier Ltd, 2018)
; ; ; ; Australia's highly concentrated food retail environment is examined in the context of competitive entry in a small city. Based on a conceptual framework that draws on existing literature, food stores' customers' share of wallet (SOW) is measured in a survey (n=379) which brackets the opening of a new supermarket. A number of variables are recorded in the survey that are not available from other data collection methods. The drivers of SOW are determined using a 2-limit Tobit model which incorporates the direct and interactive aspects of the pathways identified in the Conceptual Framework. At one of the stores (Woolworths), the influence of loyalty schemes is found to vary with customers' perceptions of stores, with implications for enhanced customer targeting by food retail managers. The impact of loyalty programs is found to be mitigated by the entry of a competitor, particularly in the case of price-conscious customers. Senior citizens are found to allocate higher SOW to small rather than large stores, and there are small effects due to the sex of the customer. There are few indications of a bespoke small city model of the drivers of SOW, but a number of interactions are identified for future research. - PublicationResponse to stockout in grocery stores: A small city case in a changing competitive environment(Elsevier Ltd, 2019-07)
; ; ; ; Empirical studies of customers' response to their favored brands' being out of stock (OOS) have focused on customers' characteristics and have been almost exclusively conducted in metropolitan areas of Europe and North America. Less is known about the effect of new retail market entry on customers' OOS response and the associated implications for retailers and manufacturers in the context of small regional centers and cities. This paper investigates customers' response to OOS in the context of a small Australian city experiencing market entry by a new supermarket. A Multinomial Logit model is used to analyze the primary survey data from 378 food shoppers. Prices for a selection of food items were also tracked for the relevant period. Our results show that changing competitive environment is likely to be a driver of customers’ switching store in response to OOS. Overall, most of the influential variables are positively associated with switching stores rather than switching brands, and this indicates that OOS is more costly for retailers than for manufacturers. - PublicationConsciously Pursued Joint Action: Agricultural and Food Value Chains as ClubsCertain members of a population consciously and deliberately decide to take joint action to provide particular types of goods or services that are at least partly excludable and at least partly congestible because it is too costly to provide such goods individually. These goods are called club goods or collective goods. We first define some key concepts in club theory and public choice. This includes the prospects for determining the optimal level of membership of a club, how to determine the optimal level and range of provision of services by a club, and consideration of the dynamics of club membership. Then we examine the ways in which club theory can help provide an alternative approach to recognising and overcoming market failure in agricultural and food value chains. We note that useful insights can be gained by considering value chains as 'latent clubs'. That is, they are systems that exist which are either inactive or have not been fully developed, but which have the potential for improvement through collective action. If value chain members do exploit an opportunity to reap the rewards of collective action, then forming a club that comprises the whole chain or a subset of chain members offers an efficient organisation design to do so. We find that all of the calculus that has been identified for clubs can be applied to agricultural and food value chains. However, there are two particular issues that require further consideration. One is the nature of risk in agricultural value chains, and how it is related to member preferences, and the other is the form of collective action to be taken by agricultural value chains in the future.