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Title
The impact of climate change on the potential distribution of an invasive species, 'Lantana camara' L.
Fields of Research (FoR) 2008:
Author(s)
Publication Date
2012
Socio-Economic Objective (SEO) 2008
Abstract
This research examines the impacts of climate change on the potential future distribution of 'Lantana camara' L., a highly invasive species, in Australia. A process-based niche model of lantana is developed, using CLIMEX software, to estimate its potential distribution. The likely impact of climate change is explored using climate data from two Global Climate Models (GCMs), Echam Mark 3 (ECHAM3) and Hadley Mark 2 (HadCM2). The models are run with high as well as low emission scenarios projected 20 years (2030s) and 50 years (2070s) into the future. Both GCMs show a southward shift in distribution based on the climate data. Suitable areas for 'L. camara' are identified well into the 2070s. Some of these areas coincide with bioregions containing endangered ecological communities which need to be prioritized for management actions. HadCM2 shows a more restricted lantana distribution with most of the continent becoming unsuitable by the 2070s except for some areas of suitability along the eastern coast. ECHAM3 identifies larger parts of the continent, particularly to south-west Western Australia, South Australia, Victoria, Tasmania and large parts of the eastern coast as remaining suitable for lantana invasion into the 2070s.
Publication Type
Conference Publication
Source of Publication
Proceedings of the Annual International Conference on Sustainable Energy and Environmental Sciences (SEES 2012), p. 6-8
Publisher
Global Science and Technology Forum (GSTF)
Place of Publication
Singapore
ISSN
2251-1903
2251-189X
Fields of Research (FoR) 2020
Socio-Economic Objective (SEO) 2020
Peer Reviewed
Yes
HERDC Category Description
Peer Reviewed
Yes
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